This course is designed for military decision-makers and analysts who would like to understand the nature of simulation and how it can be used to design and optimize their systems. The fundamental responsibilities of the decision-maker for simulation-project success are also discussed. The seminar is typically four hours in length and has no prerequisite.
This seminar has been presented to military organizations such as the U.S. Air Force, U.S. Army, Missile Defense Agency, Los Alamos National Lab, National Security Agency, and National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency. It has also been given for the defense contractors Lockheed Martin, MITRE, and Rockwell.
Critical Questions That the Seminar Will Answer:
What
What expertise is needed to perform sound simulation studies?
How do you determine the best software to use for a particular application?
How can simulation be used to evaluate military weapons systems and their logistics requirements?
What role does the decision-maker play in a sound simulation study?
How can simulation reduce the risks in military decision-making?
What are common management misconceptions about simulation that can reduce its effectiveness?
What You Will Learn:
1. Why Models and Simulations are Necessary
Use of simulation models within
Types of models – analytical solutions, discrete-event simulation, continuous simulation, Monte Carlo simulation, etc.
Benefits
2.
Example Illustrating the Use of Simulation3.
Steps in a Sound Simulation StudyFormulating the problem
Collecting information/data and deciding on the level of model detail
Selecting simulation software
Modeling system randomness
Developing valid and credible models Designing and interpreting simulation experiments Documenting and briefing the project results
4.
The Decision-Maker's Role in a Successful Simulation StudyControl and commitment of resources
Problem formulation
Approval of important model assumptions
Common misconceptions
5.
Ten Critical Pitfalls in Simulation Modeling and How to Avoid ThemModeling and validation
Simulation software
Modeling the randomness in a system
Design and analysis of simulation experiments
Appendix A. Types of Military Simulations
Important References and Web Sites
Simulation Seminars
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